Uhuru would secure an outright Round One Win if elections were held today; Study shows

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PRESIDENT Uhuru Kenyatta’s popularity compared to Opposition chief Raila Odinga’s regarding the next election has increased considerably over recent months, a new survey shows.

According to the poll, conducted from June 4 to 18, 51 per cent of Kenyans would vote for Uhuru, with only 28 per cent saying they would cast their ballot for the former Prime Minister, a gap of 23 percent. This compares with figures of 40 per cent and 29 per cent in Ipsos’s November poll, which amounts to a gap of just 11 per cent. The Star reported.

Deputy President William Ruto, Wiper leader Kalonzo Musyoka and his Ford Kenya counterpart Moses Wetangu’la come a distant third, with only 2 per cent support.

The report shows 12 per cent of Kenyans however remain undecided, on who they would vote for, with all other presidential hopefuls getting a total of only 2 per cent.

Moreover, when those who are undecided are excluded from the poll, the adjusted survey shows Uhuru with a significantly larger margin: 58 per cent against Raila’s 32 per cent. The comparable figures last November were 47 per cent vs 34 per cent.

The latest statistics suggest that Uhuru would secure an outright Round One victory – without a runoff as other pollsters have recently suggested.

At the 2013 general election, Uhuru was declared winner with 50.07 per cent of the vote against Raila, the Cord flagbearer, who garnered 43.31 per cent.

According to statistics unveiled by the pollster, Uhuru has maintained an average lead of about 20 per cent over Raila for the past two years.

Ipsos Lead Researcher Tom Wolf cautions, however, that until Cord actually names its presidential candidate and running mate, these figures should not be interpreted as reflecting an actual election outcome.

There remains uncertainty as to who will be Cord’s torch-bearers and whether its leaders will remain united after the decision is made.
Source: The Star.

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